S&P 500 board

S&P 500 7,720

FreshLast refresh 30 Oct 02:10Next update

One guess for the 4:00 pm New York close. Green is up. Red is down.

Next open

7,68409:30 · 30 Oct

ES

7,684-30.8

Open 7,684ES 7,684
ES7,684 -30.8Traded outside the cash session. A plus versus the last close means the next open may be higher.

Only 0 checks so far. Treat the line below as a first look.

7,6637,6787,6937,7087,724Spot 7,720ES 7,684Next -19Average 7,693
Spot is the live index. ES is the price outside the cash session. Next is this hour's news score, not the 24-hour close. The shaded band is the usual range around the 200-day average. Faint lines are the previous three.

This hour's past guesses

These guesses come from the news score. They are not the 24-hour range.

This prediction was made when the S&P 500 was 7,720 at 02:10 on 30 Oct. It predicts the S&P 500 will be 7,701 at 16:00 on 30 Oct. The live S&P 500 is 7,720. So far the live index is 19 points over that guess.

When 7,720Predicted 7,701Live 7,720

What moved this hour-37

Points these stories added to this hour's score. Bigger numbers moved it more.

WorldES is -37 points versus the last close.-37
ScoutScout looked across the web. 1 new story, 1 new source.0

No clear story

Amber is waiting. Red had no answer. Neither is in this hour's number.

CrudeNo clear story
DollarNo clear story
PolicyNo clear story
FlowsNo clear story
WeightsNo clear story
OptionsNo clear story
BossWatching. Every agent is working.
No error curve yet.
Each dot is one past hour's guess, oldest on the left. Below zero, the guess was too high. Above zero, it was too low. The dashed line is the average miss.
Agents8 of 8

This hour, then earlier hours. Each line says who answered and how this hour's score was made.

BossWatching. Every agent is working.
WorldES is -37 points versus the last close.-37
CrudeNo clear story
DollarNo clear story
PolicyNo clear story
FlowsNo clear story
WeightsNo clear story
OptionsNo clear story
ScoutScout looked across the web. 1 new story, 1 new source.0
BoardOpen -37. Range 9.-19

The score this hour was -19. World added -37: ES is -37 points versus the last close. Scout reported: Scout looked across the web. 1 new story, 1 new source. Crude, Dollar, Policy, Flows, Weights and Options had no clear story.

News

These are old weights, not today's news. A bigger number means that kind of story has moved the hour's score by more points.

These weights start after a story is checked.

Later checks

The line is this score. Above 50, the later miss is smaller. The grey line is 50, no change. The word next to the score is used only after 4 different closes. Each card shows that score, then the points added to this hour's score. Above zero on the card, the row has been too low.

The board line starts after 4 checked guesses.

Not enough scores for Board, World, Crude, Dollar, Policy, Flows, Weights, Options, Scout.